Nicolas Roy — 2023–24 stats and season rank | IceSheet
Nicolas Roy
Colorado Avalanche·#10·Center · Shoots right
Age 29 · 6′4″ · 200 lb · Amos, QC, CAN
Season grade
Withheld
Incomplete data
Performance / 600.0326/70 GP
Games70T-370th in NHL
Goals130.19/GP▼0.03T-215th in NHL
Assists280.40/GP▲0.15T-151st in NHL
Points410.59/GP▲0.12…
5v5 xG share…
Avg TOI15:27…
Career awards
×1
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Season comparisons
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Rolling Radar
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Shot locations
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T-184th in NHL
442nd in NHL
Not qualified · 2023–24 forwards
Needs 3 more covered appearances. Needs 92.0 more rated minutes. The app has checked scoring results for 26 of 70 appearances (37.1%); season standings require at least 90%. Scoring data cover less than 90% of recorded workload or could not be verified.
vs 0 qualified forwards
Percentiles appear once this player qualifies for season standings. The score breakdown is under How this is calculated.
How this is calculated
Score breakdown
Component
Weight
Scaled
Contribution
Offense
25%
−0.204
−0.051
Defense
25%
0.020
+0.005
Chance creation
20%
0.269
+0.054
Finishing
10%
−0.334
−0.033
Assisting
20%
0.255
+0.051
Performance rate
0.025
Per 60 rated minutes, over the scored appearances. Each component is scaled separately, then weighted; the contributions add to the performance rate at full precision, so rounded figures may differ.
Scoring
Season grade is the qualified peer percentile on the same letter bands as Game Grade — A+ ≥88, A ≥78, A− ≥68, B+ ≥58, B ≥50, B− ≥42, C+ ≥35, C ≥28, C− ≥22, D ≥15, F below 15 — and needs qualification plus at least 30 eligible peers. The letter describes this season’s performance, not permanent ability.
Comparisons
Rank and component percentiles compare this season’s qualified forwards on unrounded rates over every checked appearance; Game Grade compares one appearance with frozen historical games.
Component percentiles are never averaged into the score. Recent history is optional, from up to three completed prior seasons; small samples are provisional.
Coverage
Qualification: 29 covered appearances, 492.0 rated minutes, and 90% appearance and workload coverage. Minimums advance with league progress; valid low-sample results stay visible.
Rated minutes exclude play with a goalie pulled: 9.3 min excluded; official TOI 409.3 min.
Coverage: partial. Updated .
Method
Five weighted components add to the performance rate. Five-on-five offense and defense account for recorded teammates, opponents and game state, so shared on-ice results are not isolated individual ability. Finishing is scored against the shot model’s historical-shooter expectation and assisting counts primary assists plus half of secondary assists; both use the strength baseline, chance creation its positional baseline.
Legacy rating
Legacy season score: 61.3 / 100. The fixed exposure baseline is 50; this is separate from the season peer grade.
Rolling Radar
Recent NHL history, carried across seasons. The radar compares this broader profile with a fixed position-group reference.
Bands show position percentiles; axis labels show current rolling values.
Dashed outline: peer average in the fixed reference. Outside = above average; inside = below average. All axes point outward for stronger results.
Player value: 2.50 Peer range: 1.68 – 4.20 xGF/60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.50 · mean 2.54. Higher raw values rank higher.
Rolling profile against a fixed reference group
Fixed rolling-profile reference · 430 players. Values use the same history and smoothing as the radar.
History, sample sizes & calculation
Higher radar percentiles mean stronger recorded results against the fixed reference, including older seasons. These are separate from this season’s league percentile. Each player has a different amount of covered history. Weighted minutes and attempts give recent games more influence. “Prior” is the share contributed by a frozen league baseline: it is higher when a player has less evidence, and differs by metric because each uses its own smoothing strength. It is not a confidence score.
On-ice offense · xGF/60
959.8 weighted minutes · 17% prior
On-ice defense · xGA/60
959.8 weighted minutes · 29% prior
Chance generation · ixG/60
959.8 weighted minutes · 17% prior
Shot quality · ixG/attempt
121.5 weighted attempts · 17% prior
Finishing · goals above expected/60
121.5 weighted attempts · 25% prior
History through Oct 13, 2026. Recent games count more than older games. History carries across seasons and stays unchanged while inactive. On-ice results are shared; finishing describes results rather than established talent.
Recent scoring against his own season
Recent scoring against his own season
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1 award records
Stanley Cup · 2022–23
Every metric name opens its definition; the full list lives in Metrics.
Traditional statistics cover all situations. Supporting five-on-five analyses use completed games, raw adjustment and exposure from xG model v4. The two samples can differ.
An em dash means unavailable, not zero. A partial season remains partial. Where a panel reports evidence coverage, its rates use only the covered games. History never substitutes a different model, and a missing appearance interrupts a rolling model window.
Shot maps use the same shot model as Game Center and show which model version scored recent shots beside the rink. Older seasons can use earlier model versions. High danger means a model scoring probability of at least 0.20 on an unblocked attempt; for goalies, medium danger is 0.08 to 0.20 and low is below 0.08.
Special-team buckets include the wider recorded man-advantage and man-down states, read from the player’s own team; for a goalie, penalty kill means facing a power play. Their ranks need 100 recorded minutes and at least 30 qualified peers; below 100 minutes, penalty-kill percentiles are provisional. Playoff values have no ranks or percentiles. Team share is player ice time divided by team ice time in that situation, over the games the player dressed. Zone starts describe faceoff-started five-on-five shifts and exclude on-the-fly starts.
Penalties count events, including one for a double minor; bench and served-by roles are excluded, and victimless infractions have no drawn role. EPV added sums changes in the probability that the possessing team scores next; it is not standings points or an isolated player grade. Rolling windows never cross seasons or season types, and a missed game is not a zero-performance appearance. Career rates use summed counts and exposure, never an average of season rates; a missing contributing season withholds its career metric, and Performance begins in 2023–24.
Most often with Keegan Kolesar: 394 five-on-five minutes, 54.4% xG share together
Most often with Keegan Kolesar: 394 five-on-five minutes, 54.4% xG share together
Five-on-five · time together from shift charts (830:49 of his 5v5 ice time) · xG share together and apart
Teammate
Pos
TOI together
xG share together
GF–GA
CF%
Him without
Teammate without
Keegan Kolesar
R
393:37
54.4%
24–21
51.8%
50.4%
46.7%
Nicolas Hague
D
295:29
53.7%
13–6
49.5%
51.7%
51.7%
Brayden McNabb
D
270:00
53.2%
13–15
51.5%
52.0%
52.4%
Zach Whitecloud
D
244:49
59.2%
13–10
52.0%
49.7%
52.0%
Ivan Barbashev
L
238:08
45.2%
6–6
49.0%
55.8%
51.3%
Jonathan Marchessault
C
208:59
45.3%
7–6
48.9%
54.8%
52.7%
Alex Pietrangelo
D
208:12
48.9%
3–5
49.9%
53.6%
51.2%
William Carrier
L
197:20
60.8%
10–10
56.5%
49.7%
55.9%
Paul Cotter
L
187:16
57.4%
12–11
52.6%
51.0%
52.3%
Alec Martinez
D
152:39
50.3%
3–7
49.7%
52.9%
45.8%
Shea Theodore
D
124:53
50.3%
8–7
53.6%
52.7%
53.5%
Ben Hutton
D
121:36
55.0%
8–4
59.1%
51.9%
54.5%
Without columns are five-on-five xG share apart: him on the ice without that teammate, and the teammate without him (with this club). Bars are centred on an even 50%.
Strong 0.78 individual expected goals per 60 (58th of 209)
Strong 0.78 individual expected goals per 60 (58th of 209)
52.0%71st of 209
Average 52.0% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (71st of 209)
Average 52.0% on-ice expected goal share at five-on-five (71st of 209)
Strong 2.23 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (40th of 209)
Strong 2.23 on-ice expected goals against per 60 (40th of 209)
Defensive metrics
Five-on-five on-ice suppression; individual events in all situations.
Suppression
Player
Percentile
Rank
56.56
71 / 20966th
—
—
—
0.056
34 / 20984th
Puck management
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Physical style
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
Context · not graded
Player value: 56.56 Peer range: 43.65 – 73.10 / 60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower (better)Higher
Player 56.56 · mean 59.12. Lower raw values are better.
On-ice attempts against per 60, including blocks.
Discipline & puck management
Recorded season event counts · all situations
Penaltiesnet —
Taken —Drawn —
Puck eventsnet —
Giveaways —Takeaways —
Blocks
—
all situations
Hits
—
all situations
Average 3.68 power-play points per 60 (73rd of 106)
Average 3.68 power-play points per 60 (73rd of 106)
Power play
114:05 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PP
—
in games dressed
PP points
7
goals + assists
Unit xGF / 60
6.42
team without: —
Power play rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
3.68
73 / 10631st
—
—
—
9.47
79 / 10626th
1.71
65 / 10639th
6.42
93 / 10612th
—
—
—
Player value: 3.68 Peer range: 0.96 – 9.99 / 60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower Higher (better)
Player 3.68 · mean 4.53. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded goals plus assists per 60 in this scope; widened power-play and penalty-kill scopes.
Penalty kill
95:20 recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes
Share of team PK
—
in games dressed
SH points
1
goals + assists
Unit xGA / 60
8.48
team without: —
Penalty kill rates
Player
Percentile
Rank
8.48
—
—
—
—
107.62
—
—
—
—
1.37
—
No rank yet
Player value: 8.48 Peer range: 4.84 – 10.89 / 60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower (better)Higher
Player 8.48 · mean 8.41. Lower raw values are better. Provisional PK percentile: under 100 recorded minutes. Smaller samples are less reliable; official ranks need 100 minutes.
Raw on-ice expected goals against per 60; the Season metrics sample.
Provisional PK percentile: under 100 recorded minutes. Smaller samples are less reliable; official ranks need 100 minutes.
15:27 TOI per game (11:54 at five-on-five · 1:38 PP · 1:22 PK)
15:27 TOI per game (11:54 at five-on-five · 1:38 PP · 1:22 PK)
Results vs expected
Five-on-five · what happened beside the chances created and allowed
Chances
Player
Percentile
Rank
2.41
115 / 20945th
2.23
40 / 20981st
52.0
71 / 20966th
Goals
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Luck & variance
Player
Percentile
Rank
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Context · not graded
Player value: 2.41 Peer range: 1.41 – 4.50 / 60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.41 · mean 2.50. Higher raw values rank higher.
Raw on-ice expected goals for per 60; the Season metrics sample.
5v5 goals
—
for–against
5v5 expected
33.5–30.9
xG for–against
EPV added
+3.96
70 attributed games · all situations
On ice vs off ice
Vegas's share with Nicolas Roy on the ice against the same team without him.
Share
On ice and off ice
On-minus-off gap in percentage points
xGF%
On ice 52.0% · Off ice unavailable
—
CF%
On ice 51.5% · Off ice unavailable
—
GF%
On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable
—
On iceOff ice
Scale 40–65% · marker at 50% · right column is the on-minus-off gap in points
Steady 5 points in the last 10 games (0.50 per game vs 0.59 this season)
Steady 5 points in the last 10 games (0.50 per game vs 0.59 this season)
0.54 points per game at home · 0.63 away
0.54 points per game at home · 0.63 away
70 games · most recent vs ANA, L 1–4: 0 G, 0 A
70 games · most recent vs ANA, L 1–4: 0 G, 0 A
Nicolas Roy
159 attempts17.40 xG13 G
Goal13Shot on goal101Missed shot45Blocked shot0Larger dot = higher xG
Shooting by zone
Zone
Att
G
xG
Goal rate / exp.
G−xG
Point
19
2
1.0
10.5% / 5.4%
+1.0
High slot
35
3
2.8
8.6% / 8.1%
+0.2
Outer slot
11
1
0.9
9.1% / 8.0%
+0.1
Below goal line
2
0
0.1
0.0% / 3.3%
−0.1
Left circle
7
0
0.2
0.0% / 3.2%
−0.2
Right circle
7
0
0.3
0.0% / 5.0%
−0.3
Inner slot
78
7
12.0
9.0% / 15.4%
−5.0
All zones
159
13
17.4
8.2% / 10.9%
−4.4
Sorted by goals minus expected goals. Goal rate is goals per unblocked attempt against the expected rate. Hover a row to light up those attempts on the rink.
Finishing evidence. Scoring 8.2% on chances vs 10.9% expected (−2.8 points), with the largest shortfall in the inner slot.
Shot types159 attempts
Type
Share
Sh%
G−xG
Wrist
47.2%
15.4%
+0.3
Tip-in
17.0%
0.0%
−3.0
Snap
15.1%
12.5%
−0.3
Backhand
13.2%
15.8%
−0.6
Deflected
3.1%
0.0%
−0.4
Other
2.5%
—
−0.3
Slap
1.9%
0.0%
−0.2
Share is context, not a grade. Sh% counts shots on goal only.
High-danger chancesmodel probability ≥ 0.20
Attempts10.7% of the selected attempts
17
Goals
4
Expected goals
6.0
Conversion
23.5%35.3% expected
Shot profilecontext · not graded
On-net rate114 of 159 attempts on goal
71.7%
Slot share113 of 159 from the inner or high slot
71.1%
Average distancefrom the centre of the net
22.2 ft
Rebound attempts / 6023 this season · all situations
1.28
Usage by situation
Ice time, share of team ice time, scoring and scoring rate, with where shifts start.
Scope
TOI/GP
Team share
G
A
P
P/60
Five-on-five
11:54
—
9
20
29
2.09
Power play
1:38
—
1
6
7
3.68
Penalty kill
1:22
—
1
0
1
0.63
Other
0:34
—
2
2
4
6.08
All situations
15:27
—
13
28
41
2.27
Where the 41 points come from · All situations
Goals13 · 0.72/60
Primary assists— · —/60
Secondary assists— · —/60
Zone starts — offensive of OZ + DZ
Offensive —Neutral —Defensive —
Shifts
— a game · — average
Zone starts: five-on-five · Shifts: all situations
Faceoffs
All situations · zones are read from his side of the draw · values only; no peer ranks yet
Win %
46.8%
359 of 767 draws
Draws per game
10.96
70 games
Offensive zone
42.9%
161 draws
Defensive zone
51.5%
334 draws
Power play
39.6%
53 draws
10 NHL seasons: 449 games, 195 points
10 NHL seasons: 449 games, 195 points
Totals cover all situations; rates are five-on-five.
Elite90+Strong70–89Average30–69Weak10–29Poor<10Bar length is the peer percentile, so longer is always better · tick at the 50th
Player value: 2.09 Peer range: 0.13 – 3.50 / 60
MeanNicolas Roy
Lower Higher (better)
Player 2.09 · mean 1.57. Higher raw values rank higher.
Recorded five-on-five goals plus assists per 60 minutes.
How to read these comparisons
Player values are recorded season results. Peer averages are arithmetic means of qualified players in the selected group; each row uses the same peers for its average and rank. Ranks use unrounded values, with tied players sharing a rank and the next rank skipped. Lower xG against ranks better. Bar colours are the five performance tiers; context rows are blue and not graded. Differences from the average describe the season, not isolated player impact.
Goals above expected is the raw goals-minus-xG rate, without the shrinkage used in the older finishing comparison. On-ice measures include teammates, opponents and deployment. These recorded metrics describe different quantities from the adjusted Season score components beside them.
Skaters need 20 appearances and 300 five-on-five minutes; quality and finishing also need 75 unblocked attempts. Early in a season these minimums scale down with games played so far. At least 30 peers must qualify. Playoff ranks are withheld. A reviewed axis whose own evidence fails is withheld and shown with its reason rather than ranked. These workload rules do not express statistical confidence.
Position uses the NHL listed primary position available now; it does not establish historical position or actual deployment. Broad groups are forwards, defence and goalies. This version uses the current model’s covered games only.
Season vs reference
Per game · all situations
Metric2023–24ReferenceDiff
0.190.22-0.03
0.400.25+0.15
0.590.46+0.12
1.601.55+0.05
Reference: 2022–23 · 65 games.
Each game against his own season
Points in each game, coloured by how good the game wasTrailing 10 games, per gameSeason 0.59
