Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning#38Left wing Shoots left

Age 28 · 6′2″ · 185 lb · Saskatoon, SK, CAN

Season grade: Withheld; Incomplete data; Performance / 600.3835/82 GP

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Games82T-8th in NHL

Goals350.43/GP▲0.11T-18th in NHL

Assists550.67/GP▲0.07T-19th in NHL

Points901.10/GP▲0.18T-11th in NHL…

5v5 xG share—…

Avg TOI20:4595th in NHL…

Not qualified · 2024–25 forwards

Playing-time minimum met. Rank withheld because the app’s scoring data are incomplete. The app has checked scoring results for 35 of 41 appearances (85.4%); season standings require at least 90%. Scoring data cover less than 90% of recorded workload or could not be verified.

Percentiles appear once this player qualifies for season standings. The score breakdown is under How this is calculated.

How this is calculated

Score breakdown

Component	Weight	Scaled	Contribution
Offense	25%	0.514	+0.129
Defense	25%	0.500	+0.125
Chance creation	20%	0.276	+0.055
Finishing	10%	−0.060	−0.006
Assisting	20%	0.400	+0.080
Performance rate			0.383

Per 60 rated minutes, over the scored appearances. Each component is scaled separately, then weighted; the contributions add to the performance rate at full precision, so rounded figures may differ.

Scoring

Season grade is the qualified peer percentile on the same letter bands as Game Grade — A+ ≥88, A ≥78, A− ≥68, B+ ≥58, B ≥50, B− ≥42, C+ ≥35, C ≥28, C− ≥22, D ≥15, F below 15 — and needs qualification plus at least 30 eligible peers. The letter describes this season’s performance, not permanent ability.

Comparisons

Rank and component percentiles compare this season’s qualified forwards on unrounded rates over every checked appearance; Game Grade compares one appearance with frozen historical games.

Component percentiles are never averaged into the score. Recent history is optional, from up to three completed prior seasons; small samples are provisional.

Coverage

Qualification: 16 covered appearances, 268.1 rated minutes, and 90% appearance and workload coverage. Minimums advance with league progress; valid low-sample results stay visible.

Rated minutes exclude play with a goalie pulled: 19.0 min excluded; official TOI 712.8 min.

Coverage: partial. Updated Oct 17, 2026.

Method

Five weighted components add to the performance rate. Five-on-five offense and defense account for recorded teammates, opponents and game state, so shared on-ice results are not isolated individual ability. Finishing is scored against the shot model’s historical-shooter expectation and assisting counts primary assists plus half of secondary assists; both use the strength baseline, chance creation its positional baseline.

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Season metrics

2024–25 · five-on-five · vs 14 positional peers

Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
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—	—	—

Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
0.087		—
—	—	—

Elite90+Strong70–89Average30–69Weak10–29Poor<10No rank yetBar length is the peer percentile, so longer is always better · tick at the 50th

How to read these comparisons

Player values are recorded season results. Peer averages are arithmetic means of qualified players in the selected group; each row uses the same peers for its average and rank. Ranks use unrounded values, with tied players sharing a rank and the next rank skipped. Lower xG against ranks better. Bar colours are the five performance tiers; context rows are blue and not graded. Differences from the average describe the season, not isolated player impact.

Goals above expected is the raw goals-minus-xG rate, without the shrinkage used in the older finishing comparison. On-ice measures include teammates, opponents and deployment. These recorded metrics describe different quantities from the adjusted Season score components beside them.

Skaters need 20 appearances and 300 five-on-five minutes; quality and finishing also need 75 unblocked attempts. Early in a season these minimums scale down with games played so far. At least 30 peers must qualify. Playoff ranks are withheld. A reviewed axis whose own evidence fails is withheld and shown with its reason rather than ranked. These workload rules do not express statistical confidence.

Position uses the NHL listed primary position available now; it does not establish historical position or actual deployment. Broad groups are forwards, defence and goalies. This version uses the current model’s covered games only.

Season vs reference

Reference

Per game · all situations

Metric2024–25ReferenceDiff

0.430.32+0.11

0.670.60+0.07

1.100.91+0.18

2.782.24+0.54

Reference: 2023–24 · 82 games.

Season comparisons

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Optional recent-history profile

Rolling Radar

Recent NHL history, carried across seasons. The radar compares this broader profile with a fixed position-group reference.

Rolling profile is currently unavailable.

Rolling Radar

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Results vs expected

Five-on-five · what happened beside the chances created and allowed

Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
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Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
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Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
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Context · not graded

5v5 goals: —
5v5 expected: —
EPV added: +1.94

On ice vs off ice

Tampa Bay's share with Brandon Hagel on the ice against the same team without him.

Share	On ice and off ice	On-minus-off gap in percentage points
xGF%	On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable	—
CF%	On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable	—
GF%	On ice unavailable · Off ice unavailable	—

On iceOff ice

Scale 40–65% · marker at 50% · right column is the on-minus-off gap in points

Loading model evidence…

Defensive metrics

Five-on-five on-ice suppression; individual events in all situations.

Player	Percentile	Rank
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—	—	—
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Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—

Physical style	Player	Percentile	Rank
	—	—	—
	—	—	—

Context · not graded

Evidence coverage: high danger 39 of 79 games.

Discipline & puck management

Recorded season event counts · all situations

Penaltiesnet —

Taken —Drawn —

Puck eventsnet —

Giveaways —Takeaways —

Blocks: —
Hits: —

Both penalty counts cover 41 of 82 games with every drawn role recorded.

Loading defensive evidence…

SituationChancesViewShot type

Shot map

All 319 attempts

Goal35Shot on goal193Missed shot91Blocked shot0Larger dot = higher xG

Shooting by zone

Hover a row to light it up · click to pin

Zone	Att	G	xG	Goal rate	Exp.	G−xG
Point	43	6	3.9	14.0%	9.0%	+2.1
Below goal line	4	1	0.3	25.0%	7.3%	+0.7
Inner slot	93	14	14.3	15.1%	15.4%	−0.3
Left circle	23	1	1.3	4.3%	5.6%	−0.3
High slot	111	13	13.4	11.7%	12.0%	−0.4
Right circle	26	0	1.2	0.0%	4.6%	−1.2
Outer slot	19	0	1.4	0.0%	7.3%	−1.4
All zones	319	35	35.7	11.0%	11.2%	−0.7

Finishing evidence. Scoring 11.0% on chances against 11.2% expected, tracking the model across 7 zones.

Sorted by goals minus expected goals. Goal rate is goals per unblocked attempt against the expected rate.

Shot profile

Context · not graded

On-net rate: 71.5%
Slot share: 63.9%
Average distance: 27.0 ft
Rebound attempts / 60: 0.71

Shot types

319 attempts

Type	Share	Sh%	G−xG
Wrist	59.2%	14.3%	−1.6
Snap	15.7%	18.2%	+0.1
Tip-in	10.3%	15.8%	−0.5
Backhand	6.3%	28.6%	+1.7
Slap	4.4%	8.3%	0.0
Other	2.5%	—	+0.2
Deflected	1.6%	0.0%	−0.6

Share is context, not a grade. Sh% counts shots on goal only.

High-danger chances

Model goal probability ≥ 0.20

Conversion42.1%+6.7 pts vs expected

Actual42.1%

Expected35.4%

Attempts: 38
Goals: 16
Expected goals: 13.5
G−xG: +2.5

Shot locations

Loading canonical shot events…

Usage by situation

Ice time, share of team ice time, scoring and scoring rate, with where shifts start.

Scope	TOI/GP	Team share	G	A	P	P/60
Five-on-five	—	—	23	28	51	—
Power play	—	—	0	9	9	—
Penalty kill	—	—	3	4	7	—
Other	—	—	9	14	23	—
All situations	20:45	—	35	55	90	3.17

Where the 90 points come from · All situations

Goals35 · 1.23/60
Primary assists— · —/60
Secondary assists— · —/60

Zone starts — offensive of OZ + DZ

Offensive —Neutral —Defensive —

Shifts

— a game · — average

Zone starts: five-on-five · Shifts: all situations

Usage by situation

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Power play

— recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes

Share of team PP: —
PP points: 9
Unit xGF / 60: —

Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—

Evidence coverage: goals 16 of 74 games · team time 41 of 82 games.

Penalty kill

— recorded ice time · peers need 100 minutes

Share of team PK: —
SH points: 7
Unit xGA / 60: —

Player	Percentile	Rank
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—
—	—	—

Evidence coverage: goals 20 of 71 games · high danger 21 of 71 games · team time 41 of 82 games.

Loading special teams…

Split	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	5v5 xG share	Team record
Venue
Home	41	17	33	50	1.22	59.0%	29–8–4
Away	41	18	22	40	0.98	57.1%	18–19–4
Rest
Back-to-back	11	6	8	14	1.27	55.8%	5–6–0
1 day of rest	54	22	39	61	1.13	57.2%	29–17–8
2+ days of rest	16	7	8	15	0.94	63.6%	12–4–0
Opponent
vs Eastern	50	18	32	50	1.00	57.8%	27–15–8
vs Western	32	17	23	40	1.25	58.3%	20–12–0
vs playoff teams	40	18	28	46	1.15	59.2%	19–19–2
vs non-playoff teams	42	17	27	44	1.05	56.8%	28–8–6
Recent
Last 10	10	2	8	10	1.00	54.2%	5–2–3

Teammate	Pos	TOI together	xG share together	GF–GA	CF%	Him without	Teammate without
Anthony Cirelli	C	951:01	58.9%	40–34	55.5%	53.0%	53.9%
Ryan McDonagh	D	606:26	53.8%	28–18	50.2%	61.6%	53.5%
Erik Cernak	D	508:22	52.2%	26–17	49.7%	62.0%	53.3%
Victor Hedman	D	377:30	59.9%	13–11	55.2%	56.9%	50.5%
Nikita Kucherov	R	342:14	66.1%	13–11	60.6%	54.2%	52.1%
Nick Paul	L	319:50	56.9%	10–7	49.8%	58.0%	48.1%
Darren Raddysh	D	239:40	53.2%	4–7	52.5%	58.9%	50.8%
Conor Geekie	C	237:34	54.7%	13–8	51.3%	58.5%	42.8%
J.J. Moser	D	222:24	64.9%	11–7	56.7%	56.4%	47.8%
Nick Perbix	D	219:20	67.6%	9–7	58.9%	55.4%	46.9%
Emil Lilleberg	D	213:11	62.1%	8–6	57.1%	56.8%	46.9%
Brayden Point	C	144:31	50.1%	8–3	45.1%	58.7%	51.8%

	Opponent	Result		PPP	+/−	SOG		5v5 on-ice xG share	Game
Apr 28	@ FLA	L 2–4	11:04	0	0	0	0.00	25.3%	View →
Apr 24	vs FLA	L 0–2	22:41	0	-2	2	0.07	39.5%	View →
Apr 22	vs FLA	L 2–6	19:25	—	-2	1	0.00	67.5%	View →
Filtered 3	—	0–3	17:43 avg	—	-4	3	0.08	53.5%	—

Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	P/GP	5v5 ixG/60	5v5 GP
2025–26	7	6	2	8	20	1.14	0.70	7
2024–25	3	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.14	3
2023–24	5	3	2	5	8	1.00	0.54	5
2022–23	6	1	4	5	15	0.83	0.73	6
2021–22	23	2	4	6	41	0.26	1.00	23

	Opponent	Result		G	A		PPP	+/−	SOG		5v5 on-ice xG share	Game
Apr 17	@ NYR	L 0–4	14:37	0	0	0	—	-1	2	0.10	73.4%	View →
Apr 15	vs FLA	W 5–1	16:24	0	0	0	—	-1	4	0.38	58.9%	View →
Apr 13	vs BUF	W 7–4	20:24	0	3	3	—	1	1	0.41	—	View →
Apr 11	vs DET	OTL 3–4 OT	18:48	0	2	2	—	3	3	0.30	—	View →
Apr 9	vs TOR	OTL 3–4 OT	20:42	0	2	2	—	0	1	0.11	—	View →
Apr 7	@ NYR	W 5–1	17:57	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.00	44.7%	View →
Apr 5	@ BUF	OTL 2–3 SO	21:53	0	0	0	—	0	2	0.29	47.6%	View →
Apr 3	@ OTT	L 1–2	20:49	1	0	1	0	1	4	0.34	68.5%	View →
Apr 1	@ NYI	W 4–1	20:15	0	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	36.3%	View →
Mar 29	vs NYI	W 5–3	20:30	0	1	1	—	1	1	0.05	50.5%	View →
Filtered 10	—	5–2–3	19:14 avg	2	8	10	—	4	21	1.98	—	—

Split	G	A	P	5v5 xG share	5v5 CF%	5v5 GF–GA
Period
1st period	9	21	30	—	—	—
2nd period	13	15	28	—	—	—
3rd period	13	19	32	—	—	—
Overtime	0	0	0	—	—	—
Score state · 5v5 on ice
Leading	—	—	—	55.1%	48.6%	14–12
Tied	—	—	—	59.1%	52.5%	20–11
Trailing	—	—	—	60.0%	61.6%	17–14

Season			Box score · all situations												5v5 individual				5v5 on ice					Season performance
Season	Age	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	SOG	Sh%	PPG	TOI/GP	Hits	Blk	P/60	ixG/60	SOG/60	xG/UA	xGF/60	xGA/60	xGF%	CF%	GF%	Perf/60	Grade	Rank
2026–27	28	TBL	8	6	5	11	0	2	38	15.8	0	—	—	—	3.42	1.66	13.68	0.090	3.83	2.35	62.0	61.3	—	—	—	—
2025–26	27	TBL	71	36	38	74	34	58	214	16.8	5	19:46	—	—	2.98	1.34	8.89	0.093	3.92	2.48	61.3	58.4	—	—	—	—
2024–25	26	TBL	82	35	55	90	33	58	228	15.4	0	20:45	—	—	—	—	—	0.087	—	—	—	—	—	0.383	—	—
2023–24	25	TBL	82	26	49	75	1	79	184	14.1	2	19:15	—	—	2.36	0.92	7.18	0.091	3.24	2.53	56.1	53.4	—	—	—	—
2022–23	24	TBL	81	30	34	64	23	54	178	16.9	7	18:39	—	—	2.05	1.03	7.06	0.106	3.85	2.98	56.3	53.6	—	—	—	—
2021–22	23	CHI, TBL	77	25	19	44	-18	31	125	20.0	4	16:21	—	—	1.70	0.63	5.63	0.081	2.80	2.89	49.2	50.9	—	—	—	—
2020–21	22	CHI	52	9	15	24	-7	11	91	9.9	0	13:59	—	—	1.50	0.66	7.22	0.075	2.28	2.81	44.8	45.8	—	—	—	—
2019–20	21	CHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	0	11:48	—	—	0.00	1.27	20.34	0.063	3.67	2.20	62.5	50.0	—	—	—	—
Career	—	8 seasons	454	167	215	382	66	293	1062	15.7	18	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.090	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Brandon Hagel

Season performanceSelected-season standing and the components behind the scoreCollapse

Score breakdown

Scoring

Comparisons

Coverage

Method

Season metrics

Season vs reference

Season comparisons

Rolling Radar

Rolling Radar

On-ice impact5v5What the team creates and allows during the player’s five-on-five minutesWhat the team creates and allows during the player’s five-on-five minutesExplore

Results vs expected

On ice vs off ice

Defense5v5 · AllOn-ice suppression and individual disciplineOn-ice suppression and individual disciplineExplore

Defensive metrics

Discipline & puck management

Penaltiesnet —

Puck eventsnet —

Shooting & finishingWhere the player shoots, the quality of those chances, and actual versus expected goalsWhere the player shoots, the quality of those chances, and actual versus expected goalsExplore

Shot map

Shooting by zone

Shot profile

Shot types

High-danger chances

Shot locations

Usage & deployment20:45 TOI per gameScoring by situation, zone starts and workloadExplore

Usage by situation

Where the 90 points come from · All situations

Zone starts — offensive of OZ + DZ

Shifts

Usage by situation

Special teamsPP · PKPower play and penalty killPower play and penalty killExplore

Power play

Penalty kill

FormExplore

Rolling Radar

Splits1.22 points per game at home · 0.98 awayVenue, rest and opponentExplore

By period and score state

Linemates5v5Most often with Anthony Cirelli: 951 five-on-five minutes, 58.9% xG share togetherWho he plays with at five-on-fiveExplore

Playoffs3 playoff games: 0 goals, 0 points · 44 career playoff gamesExplore

2024–25 playoffs

Playoff games

Every playoff run

Game log82 games · most recent at NYR, L 0–4: 0 G, 0 AOfficial totals and five-on-five evidenceExplore

Career8 NHL seasons: 454 games, 382 pointsEvery season and a recomputed career lineExplore

Data notesScopes, missing values and model evidenceExplore

2024–25 playoffs

Playoff games

Every playoff run

Score breakdown

Scoring

Comparisons

Coverage

Method

Defensive metrics

Discipline & puck management

Penaltiesnet —

Puck eventsnet —

Power play

Penalty kill

Results vs expected

On ice vs off ice

Shot map

Shooting by zone

Shot profile

Shot types

High-danger chances

Usage by situation

Where the 90 points come from · All situations

Zone starts — offensive of OZ + DZ

Shifts

By period and score state

Season metrics

Season vs reference